Lactate Prognostication Calculator

Please note any results presented here should not be a sole decision maker in colic cases

Input Values

Results

Summary Information

Blood Lactate: Lactate levels in the blood can indicate circulatory shock, hypoxaemia and anaemia or decreased lactate clearance.

Peritoneal Lactate: Elevated peritoneal lactate can indicate strangulated bowel, peritonitis, enteritis and colitis.

Lactate Ratio: The ratio of peritoneal lactate to blood lactate can help in assessing the severity and origin of lactate production, providing valuable diagnostic information.

Surgery Recommendation: A higher probability indicates a stronger recommendation for surgical intervention based on lactate levels and ratios.

Survival to Discharge: Probability estimation of survival to discharge based on the provided lactate values and calculated ratios.

Legend:

* Above cut point for surgery

^ Above cut point for survival

*^ Above cut points for both surgery and survival

Statistics

Sensitivity and Specificity (Peritoneal Lactate and Surgery): 71% sensitivity, 72% specificity, Cut Point: 8 mmol/L, AUROC: 0.75

Sensitivity and Specificity (Peritoneal Lactate and Survival): 77% sensitivity, 81% specificity, Cut Point: 5.2 mmol/L, AUROC: 0.86

Sensitivity and Specificity (Lactate Ratio and Surgery): 71% sensitivity, 66% specificity, Cut Point: 2.5, AUROC: 0.76

Sensitivity and Specificity (Lactate Ratio and Survival): 75% sensitivity, 81% specificity, Cut Point: 2.36, AUROC: 0.77

Bibliography

These are some relevant references related to prognosticating colic with lactate. Here are some references: